Bitcoin Price Rises After CPI Inflation Report. Why the Data Matter for Crypto.
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, saw a 2.9% increase in the last 24 hours, reaching $99,032, as per CoinDesk data. This marks a more than 40% surge since November 5, when President-elect Donald Trump's victory fueled optimism for a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment in the U.S.
Despite this upward momentum, the cryptocurrency rally has been somewhat restrained in recent weeks due to investor concerns about the Federal Reserve maintaining higher interest rates for an extended period. Elevated borrowing costs tend to make riskier assets, like cryptocurrencies, less attractive to investors.
On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the December consumer price index, revealing that annual inflation stood at 2.9%. Although this is still significantly above the Fed's target of 2%, core inflation (excluding food and energy prices) declined. As a result, interest-rate futures increased the likelihood of multiple rate cuts later this year, which is seen as a positive development for crypto markets.
Among other digital assets, XRP surged by 15% following hopes of a favorable outcome in its ongoing legal battle with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). XRP is used on Ripple's payment platform, which has been embroiled in legal challenges.
Ether also gained 4.4%, while Solana and Dogecoin saw gains of 5.4?ch.
Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, saw a 2.9% increase over the last 24 hours, reaching $99,032 according to CoinDesk data. This rise represents a substantial gain of over 40% since November 5, when President-elect Donald Trump won a second term and promised to implement a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment. The ongoing rally is indicative of the growing optimism surrounding cryptocurrencies, with investors betting on a future that could be more conducive to the digital assets market.
However, despite these gains, the crypto rally has encountered some resistance in the past month, largely due to growing concerns about the Federal Reserve’s potential to keep interest rates higher for an extended period. Higher interest rates tend to reduce the appeal of riskier assets, such as cryptocurrencies, as borrowing costs increase, prompting investors to shift towards safer investments. The crypto market often reacts negatively when the cost of capital is elevated, which has led to some hesitance in further crypto investments.
On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the December consumer price index (CPI), which showed that the annual rate of inflation stood at 2.9%, a level still significantly higher than the Fed’s 2% target. While headline inflation ticked upward, it came in slightly above expectations of 2.8%. The news, however, wasn't all negative for markets. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, showed a decline. This helped alleviate some concerns in the financial markets and, more importantly, spurred an optimistic outlook for the crypto sector.
The inflation data prompted a shift in market sentiment, with interest-rate futures reflecting a higher probability of the Fed implementing multiple rate cuts later this year. This prospect of lower interest rates is considered a favorable development for cryptocurrency investors, as it would lower the opportunity cost of holding digital assets compared to traditional investments. As interest rates decrease, riskier assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum often become more attractive.
XRP, the cryptocurrency tied to Ripple’s payment network, saw a significant 15% surge. This was driven by optimism surrounding its ongoing legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). A favorable ruling in this case could have widespread implications for XRP's future, as it would clarify the regulatory status of the cryptocurrency and potentially set a precedent for other digital assets in the U.S. market.
Ethereum (ETH) also saw a notable rise of 4.4%, supported by the broader positive sentiment in the market. Other major altcoins, including Solana (SOL) and Dogecoin (DOGE), experienced even greater gains, with both cryptocurrencies climbing by 5.4%. The rally across the crypto market indicates a widespread risk-on sentiment, with many investors betting on the continued adoption of digital assets amid the changing macroeconomic landscape.